Co-Active Systems Theory

Generalized CoAST is an approach that dynamically selects, tunes, combines and adapts theory, analogs (models), experts (oracles), and data (pereception) to maximize information gain for optimizing (or improving robustness, reliability, resilience) inference (or control, estimation, learning, decisions etc). Not only does CoAST infer from these sources in a way that is better than any source alone but, in reverse, it dynamically adapts the sources.

CoAST derives from a rich history in Optimal and Sequential Experimental Design,  Incremental Online and Active Learning, Active Sampling, Expected Informativeness, Relevance Feedback, and Co-Active Learning. Generalized CoAST extends the classical notion that typically only involve two-way interactions between specific forms, e.g., Co-Active Learning between humans and machines, or models and instrumentation (e.g., "dddas"). It promotes the "co-evolution of multiple subsystems, each benefiting from the others."   

CoAST can be viewed at both the systems and methodological level.

Fig. 2.4

uantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures using Field Coalescence

Learning to Predict Uncertainty using Dynamic Data Driven Deep Learning 

Quantifying Extreme Rare Event Tails (QuERET)

Decisions with imprecise probabilities